Fall 2011 TWDT Standings

[Black Mage]

I had a feeling the website standings were messed up, so I went back and counted manually.

TWDTD

Reign 5-1
Baby Eater 5-1
Dun vs me 5-1
Nimrook 4-2
Calculus Crusaders 2-4
Lemon Tree 1-5
BONK! 1-5
Boner Soup 1-5

TWDTJ

Nimrook 5-1
dun vs me 4-2
Calculus Crusaders 3-2*
BONK! 3-2*
Lemon Tree 3-3
Boner Soup 2-4
Reign 3-3
Baby Eater 0-6

TWDTB

BONK! 5-1
Boner Soup 5-1
dun vs me 4-2
Calculus Crusaders 3-2*
Nimrook 3-2*
Baby Eater 2-4
Lemon Tree 1-5
Reign 0-6

*Appeal games still to be played:
TWDTJ BONK! vs. Calculus Crusaders
TWDTB Nimrook vs. Calculus Crusaders

Current win totals (games remaining):
dun vs me - 13 (3)
Nimrook - 12 (4)
BONK! - 9 (4)
Boner Soup - 8 (3)
Reign - 8 (3)
Calculus Crusaders - 8 (5)
Baby Eater - 7 (3)
Lemon Tree - 5 (3)

[Black Mage]

Team (Wins, Max Wins)

dun vs me (13, 16)
DTD- Reign, DTJ - Baby Eater, DTB- Lemon Tree
Outlook: Clinched a top 4 seed. If they win out and Nimrook also does, there would be a tiebreaker for top seed. One win clinches a first-round playoff bye.

Nimrook (12, 16)
DTD- BONK!, DTJ- Lemon Tree, DTB- Baby Eater, DTB- Calculus Crusaders
Outlook: Clinched a top 4 seed. 2 wins clinches a first-round playoff bye. Can get top seed by winning out and winning a tiebreaker (or dun vs me losing a game).

BONK! (9, 13)
DTD- Nimrook, DTJ- Boner Soup, DTB- Calculus Crusaders, DTJ- Calculus Crusaders
Outlook: Pretty far range of possibilities for BONK! It's unlikely (but possible) that they could get a first round bye OR miss the playoffs entirely. Winning 2 games guarantees them a playoff spot.

Calculus Crusader (8, 13)
DTD- Baby Eater, DTJ- Reign, DTB- BONK!, DTB- Nimrook, DTJ- BONK!
Outlook: Another interesting middle of the pack team. They have 2 replay games left to play, so their range is just as expansive as BONK!'s, but they also have a greater chance of missing the playoffs if they lose a bunch of their remaining games. 3 wins out of 5 gets them into the playoffs for sure. After that and things get uncertain. They also will play an important part for who gets in the playoffs between Reign, Baby Eater, and themselves.

Boner Soup (8, 11)
DTD- Lemon Tree, DTJ- BONK!, DTB- Reign
Outlook: They got 2 fairly easy matchups in dueling and basing, so they could climb precipitously if they manage to beat BONK! in javelin. Third place is not out of reach, but they do control their own destiny for a playoff spot.

Reign (8, 11)
DTD- dun vs me, DTJ- Calculus Crusaders, DTB- Boner Soup
Outlook: Winning the basing game would go a looong way, considering that dueling is a tough matchup and javelin won't be easy. However, they haven't won a basing game yet. If they lose base and dueling or javelin, they could be in trouble.

Baby Eater (7, 10)
DTD- Calculus Crusaders, DTJ- dun vs me, DTB- Nimrook
Outlook: Unfortunately, they do not play either of the team's directly ahead of them in the standings (Calculus Crusaders loses both appeal games), so they have to root for some help. Since either Reign of Boner Soup will lose 1 because of head-2-head, they can definitely force a tiebreaker by winning all 3. If they only win 2, they will need some help, preferably from the same team that lost the h2h. Unfortunately they don't have any easy games on the slate, although they are all winnable.

Lemon Tree (5, 8)
DTD- Boner Soup, DTJ- Nimrook, DTB- dun vs me
Outlook: Pretty much done. Need one of the teams with 8 wins to lose all their games, and Baby Eater not to win more than 1, and then to win a big tiebreaker.

Big games:
DTD: Reign vs. dun vs me
DTD: Baby Eater vs. Calculus Crusaders
DTJ: Reign vs. Calculus Crusaders
DTJ: Boner Soup vs. BONK!
DTB: Boner Soup vs. Reign
DTB Appeal: Nimrook vs. Calculus Crusaders
DTB: BONK! vs. Calculus Crusaders

[Money]

gj on no stats!

[Black Mage]

This was Op duty. Had to make caps aware of standings situation.

[Vehicle]

I appreciated it lol.

[Black Mage]

Current Tiebreakers

Tiebreakers before week 7 and appeal games:

TWDTB

	Differential
Baby Eater		-12.95
Lemon Tree		-35.28
Nimrook			7.15
BONK!			26.78
Boner Soup		30.58
Reign			-29.69
Calculus Crusaders	7.12
dun vs me		6.29

TWDTJ

	Differential
Baby Eater		-109
Lemon Tree		4
Nimrook			100
BONK!			11
Boner Soup		-54
Reign			-10
Calculus Crusaders	18
dun vs me		40

TWDTD

	Differential
Baby Eater		68
Lemon Tree		-39
Nimrook			-8
BONK!			-40
Boner Soup		-59
Reign			55
Calculus Crusaders	-50
dun vs me		73

[Aura]

OMG WHO IS GOING TO PLAYOFFS THE SUSPENSE IS KILLING MEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE?!?!!?!?!?!?!

[Tsumetai]

Hmm. Yeah I don't know. Whatever the result, it's gonna piss off someone for sure.

[the_paul]

This is more complicated than it appears, we'll have to wait till all the ops are on together and deliberate from there.

[Jerome Scuggs]

boner soup

[ogron]

how long can it take to do the math?

[Miku19]

Well CC is in I guess, since we beat every other squad in head-to-head comparisons for +/-. Yay. Hoping to get a final word on this as soon as possible from officials though so we can get ready.

[Black Mage]

Decision will definitely come by tomorrow. We have to agree on the methodology because a 3-way or greater tiebreaker was not included in the rules, and the TWL rules don't quite apply because teams in TWDT make the playoffs in every league or none. I think we know what is going to happen, but we've had trouble getting everyone online at once due to me being drunk all day yesterday and people being off from work/out and about today.

[ogron]

(posted down)

[ogron]

(posted down)