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TWLB 2014 Predictions

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  • TWLB 2014 Predictions

    TWLB 2014 Predictions



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    8. ???


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    7. ???


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    6. Fierce (2-6)

    Terr: Tiny, Mythrandir -- 5/10
    Shark: LF, Liz, Sulla, Murder, Diakka -- 7.5/10
    Spiders: Diakka, Mean Gene, TJ Hazuki, Murder, Spiderhate, bugs, Tripin, Sulla, Skepsis, Last Standing, dak -- 7/10

    Fierce had a respectable showing 2 years ago in TWLB, and they're making another attempt this year, which is good for the league. The most important part of a startup squad with no depth is a terr, which they had two years ago in Pressure, who, despite what is said about him, played really well on Fierce and helped keep them competitive despite their record.

    They lack a true, dedicated terr who can perform heroics, so despite a starting five comparable to Dudgeon in spider and decent starting sharks, missing that key component is going to kill them in the long-run. Moreover, none of those spiders are dedicated unders, making the task harder still. Dudgeon will beat them solely on Mikkiz's play, despite being equal or better in other areas, on top of stronger underspids.

    I wouldn't expect them to be a pushover, however, as LF and Liz are experienced sharks, their terrs are serviceable, and I like their core spids. Diakka and Mean Gene are veterans, and Spiderhate and Murder are good, pushy spiders, and TJ Hazuki is active and capable.


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    5. Revenge (4-4)

    Terr: Hydride -- 7/10
    Shark: menelvagor, eelam, hellkite, vehicle -- 8/10
    Spiders: Glavitik, SquallFF8, Hellkite, Megalo, Ra, StarWeaver, pikikus, Marge, Jones -- 8/10

    Severe doubts as to whether last year's Runner-ups are even going to play TWL this year, but nevertheless they still have five of their eight TWLB starters on the roster, and good building blocks to reboot their squad and have an impact should they choose to play.

    No depth or activity, and no chance at a title, but they could easily make the playoffs if they wanted to, given their core of strong overspids and sharks.


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    4. Dudgeon (5-3)

    Terr: Mikkiz -- 10/10
    Shark: nokkonen, Sakke, Zyclon -- 5/10
    Spiders: Zizzo, Leitz, NL>Trigger, Gilder, maketso, Nicholas, Micke, Skyforger, Reckful, Sakke, Plob#f, Kawrae 7/10

    Expect similar results to last year, as Dudgeon returns with the same roster, minus Dreamwin, but with the additions of Leitz and NL>Trigger.

    The Finnish Flash, Mikkiz, will help keep games close as their overspids get smashed to pieces by Dice, Pandora, and Enemy, although NL>Trigger and Gilder should be able to hold under, so expect Mikkiz to slip under and avoid death better than Houdini.

    Their sharks are sub-par and Leitz won't be able to save their mediocre over, however they should finish 4rd or 5th, and be able to convincingly knock-out Fierce or whoever in the Quarters with their typical selfless, team-oriented and pushy play, before exiting in the Semi-Finals to either Dice or Pandora.


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    3. Enemy (6-2)

    Terr: Cintra, Trasher -- 9/10
    Shark: Cranium, Porkjet, McVicar, Krage, Omega Red, Downfall, Ephemeral -- 9/10
    Spiders: Kate Upton, Trasher, M_M God, Acidbomber, McVicar, Kian, Skatarius, Jurassic, Omega Red, JJ Cale, raminator, Weapon, Trance, Yawn -- 8.5/10

    The remnants of Penetrate have combined under the auspices of top-tier shark Cranium and underspid Kate Upton to create a formidable basing team looking to make a deep playoff run. Unless Revenge gets active, this is the only squad with any chance of upsetting either Dice or Pandora.

    An excellent starting line if they can get Cintra + Cranium/Porkjet + Trasher/MM God/Kate Upton/Acidbomber every weak, but there's a pronounced dropoff after that as Enemy lacks depth.

    They have the right ingredients for success, with Cintra in terr, and a rock-solid starting duo of Cranium and Fermata, and an incisive underspider duo in Kate Upton and Acidbomber, but their overspids lack the same star-power as Dice and Pandora's Cripples, Jamals, and Shaydes.

    A good dark horse for a Semi-Finals upset several months down the road if everything comes together for them.


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    2. Dice (8-0)

    Terr: Pressure, Zizu -- 7.5/10
    Shark: a2m, Dwopple, Tabarnak!!!, Oder, Confluence -- 10/10
    Spiders: Stayon, megaman89, Cripple, Jamal, kess, wbm, Mikes, Confluence, Panama, temporary -- 10/10

    The Evil Empire returns, with all their TWL 16 championship team, minus Cape and Domi, but with ex-Dicers Kess and Dwopple returning to the fold, as well as Thix in terr.

    If the rosters remain this way, it will certainly be a test for Dice not having the safety net of Cape quarterbacking -- and a chance for him to secure his place as the greatest of all-time in defeating his former super-squad and proving that he is indeed the X-factor most responsible for their multiple championships.

    Dice are hedging their bets in acquiring Zizu, but I would be very surprised if he got active and into his old form, as he has failed to do so his last two seasons on both Thunder and Sage. Thix is better at the moment.

    Look for Dice to crush their opponents during the regular season as retaliation for their individual ignominious oustings from last year's TWLB on multiple different squads.

    With Dwopple, a2m, and Tab, their sharking depth is comparable to Panda's, and their legendary spider core of Cripple, Stayon, Mega, and JAMAL will be tough to contend with. Look for a possible throwback from several years ago with Stayon and Kess undering, with Cripple/Mega/JAMAL over.

    Definitely can see them beating Pandora in preseason and regular season, looking to make a statement, as guys like Ease, Spezza and Cape often don't practice, play, or start caring until playoffs.

    Like Penetrate stomping Dice in TWL 16 regular season and Revenge edging out Pandora in TWL 17, look for it to have no impact on the Final.


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    1. Pandora (7-1)

    Terr: Cape -- 10/10
    Shark: Mattey, Vatican Assassin, Zidane, Hulk, Mythril -- 10/10
    Spiders: Shayde, Spezza, Ease, Sarger, Hulk, Ogron, Dreamwin, Best, Heaven, Rough, Tobe -- 9.5/10

    The returning champs are in good form, with the majority of their roster intact from last year along with some new additions.

    Cape is hands-down the best terr in the world, look for him to be the key to another title.

    There is tons of LB-quality shark depth, as Mattey, Vati, Zidane and Hulk were all beasts in LB last year, and a plethora of good spiders behind their 1-2-3 punch in Shayde, Ease, and Spezza means that Pandora is poised for another title run.

    The only blip is the loss of Kate Upton, so the #1 Underspider in the game, Spezza, will need to find a new partner under.

    Expect another finals berth, where Pandora will take on basing behemoth Dice, as the champs of TWL 16 and TWL 17 face off for one of the most highly-vaunted finals in subspace history.


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    Title Odds

    Pandora (50%)
    Dice (45%)
    Enemy (5%)
    Revenge (0%)
    Dudgeon (0%)
    Fierce (0%)
    top 100 basers list

  • #2
    I think Fierce will surprise some people in all honestly. We have a pretty good spider core depth and sharking depth. Our main concern is terring but now that we have required diakka, maybe he'll be our dynamic terr?

    The only thing i worry about Dudgeon is the the lack of depth they have in there spid. They got a good core for spiders but here depth is severely lacking. Since they got a thin roster, i really can't see the same lineup showing up every week. Love the dudgeon guys but thats just the way how I see it for them. I hope they do well though.

    Revenge is pretty much inactive but will probably play this season I reckon because that main core are competitive players so I can't see them missing out on TWLB. I expect some no-show games from them cause of there damage roster when they had lost players to dice. If they show up they can be a contender even with that small roster of theirs. However I wish them good luck in the upcoming season.


    My prediction of winning TWLB is probably between Enemy and Dice. Really liking Enemy's roster/core spiders and dice has just a great depth of spiders and good terrs overall. Pandora could win it all if there dedicated enough to do it.
    Last edited by PrOnEsSim; 01-03-2014, 01:38 AM.
    TWLD Champion 2014
    TWDTB Champion 2013
    TWDTB Champion 2016
    TWDTB Champion 2017
    TWDTB Champion 2019.. my last one.
    -tj hazuki/hazuki :wub:

    Comment


    • #3
      Please dont add me as terr. I will be terr if everyone else is dead. Mythrandir/diakka/broseph/bugs terrs. Just FYI
      1:waven> u challenge
      1:waven> if i challenge it looks too scary

      Originally posted by MHz
      Hope you contract ebola from your, no doubt cheap, Easter Egg, you fucking shit-jav, pug-faced cunt.

      Comment


      • #4
        Also, going to be hard for cape to terr with all those medals around his neck. Prolly getting tight right about now.
        1:waven> u challenge
        1:waven> if i challenge it looks too scary

        Originally posted by MHz
        Hope you contract ebola from your, no doubt cheap, Easter Egg, you fucking shit-jav, pug-faced cunt.

        Comment


        • #5
          Nice predictions! Though I don't like how 'title odds' don't match to your ratings. If Enemy has 9+9+8.5 = 26.5 points and dice 7.5+10+10 = 27.5 how can they only have 5% of winning?
          lemar> im seriously gonna get someone to hack your name and disolve that shit sqd of yours

          Comment


          • #6
            Exponential growth
            duel pasta <ER>> i can lick my asshole

            Mattey> put me in corch

            zidane> go kf urself pork

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Zizzo
              Nice predictions! Though I don't like how 'title odds' don't match to your ratings. If Enemy has 9+9+8.5 = 26.5 points and dice 7.5+10+10 = 27.5 how can they only have 5% of winning?
              Thanks. Yeah, I didn't put a lot of thought into the Title Odd %'s, I was thinking that if Enemy finishes 3rd as I'm predicting, they have to go through Pandora in the Semi's then Dice in the Final -- which I have trouble conceiving as a high-probability. Of course, that's true for 2nd -- Pandora would have to beat Enemy, who are formidable, then Dice, who are stronger than Revenge was last year, which I didn't factor in.

              In reality, if those standings hold true, #1 has higher probability of winning as their Semi would be against Revenge or Dudgeon which is a softer path, so Dice should have the 50% chance to win, not Pandora. I'm more confident in predicting Dice will finish 8-0 than I am picking who will finish 2nd or 3rd between Pandora or Enemy, but it doesn't really matter because they'd end up facing each other in the Semi either way.

              So Dice's % should be higher, and probably Enemy's too, and Pandora's lower. That said, I can't see anyone winning LB outside those three (unless Revenge makes some serious last-minute acquisitions.)

              So, yeah, I agree, not very good work on that front. My Title Odd %'s were shitty last year too
              top 100 basers list

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              • #8
                also didn't know Veloce as JJ Cale til yesterday
                top 100 basers list

                Comment


                • #9
                  Well, I guess was wrong about Revenge.
                  TWLD Champion 2014
                  TWDTB Champion 2013
                  TWDTB Champion 2016
                  TWDTB Champion 2017
                  TWDTB Champion 2019.. my last one.
                  -tj hazuki/hazuki :wub:

                  Comment

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