Election Thread #1 -real version (Let's see how long we can stay on topic)

[Vykromond]

Looks like New Mexico won't be Kerry's "get out of jail free" ticket:

Bush (Rep)* 253437 52%
Kerry (Dem) 230725 47%
Nader (Ind) 2705 1%


% of precincts reporting: 88

[Vykromond]

Kerry is leading three out of the four mid-Midwests. Bush is leading Iowa by 8,000. Nevada is still way too close to discuss. Hawaii has a tentative Kerry lead.

As for the inexorable Ohio ticker, it hasn't updated in the last three minutes.

[Vykromond]

The final chapter in the New Hampshire saga seems to be writ large at this point.

Kerry (Dem) 314337 51%
Bush (Rep)* 301834 48%
Nader (Ind) 4121 1%


% of precincts reporting: 93

Of course, if Ohio switches, why can't this? (Hint: Because Ohio probably won't switch.)

[Vykromond]

Finally, an update.

Bush (Rep)* 2587366 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2485358 49%


% of precincts reporting: 92

Margin: 102,008

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2595156 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2491212 49%


% of precincts reporting: 93

Margin: 103,944

At this point, I'm told that the Kerry campaign is shifting its hopes to the 200,000 or so absentee ballots that have yet to be counted and aren't likely to have been included in the precinct percentage above. Of course, to make up the current difference these absentee ballots would have to have approximately 150,000 (75%) Kerry votes in them, something I don't find particularly likely.

[Vykromond]

Ohio, which is now also a site for some controversy about provisional ballots:

Bush (Rep)* 2639180 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2532530 49%


% of precincts reporting: 94

Margin: 106,650

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2648463 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2546176 49%


% of precincts reporting: 95

Margin: 102,287

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2673882 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2559802 49%


% of precincts reporting: 96

Margin: 114,080

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2685059 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2564047 49%


% of precincts reporting: 96

Margin: 121,012

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2687002 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2564957 49%


% of precincts reporting: 96

Margin: 122,045

[Vykromond]

If the margin lands at 90-95,000, there will be a VERY concerted challenge by the Kerry camp. If it ends over 100,000, I don't know how well they'll be able to do with that.

EDIT: Iowa is also looking Bushlike at this hour.

CANDIDATE VOTE TOTAL PERCENT WINNER
Bush (Rep)* 720603 50%
Kerry (Dem) 709026 49%
Nader (PEC) 5564 1%


% of precincts reporting: 96

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2693963 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2567618 49%


% of precincts reporting: 96

Margin: 126,345

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2702479 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2574487 49%


% of precincts reporting: 97

Margin: 127,992

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2706153 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2580462 49%


% of precincts reporting: 97

Margin: 125,691

[Vykromond]

Bush (Rep)* 2706778 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2581451 49%


% of precincts reporting: 97

Margin: 125,327