Election Thread #1 -real version (Let's see how long we can stay on topic)

[Jerome Scuggs]

y - 237 - 199
dr - 246 - 207

[Jerome Scuggs]

Jerome, I meant Washington State, which is only a 5-point jump for Kerry at this point.

ok.

[DoTheFandango]

CNN called Florida

[Fit of Rage]

College students can't be arsed.

[Verthanthi]

CNN finally calls florida.

Lookin' bleak, democrats.

[DoTheFandango]

Youth Vote went up .2 percent!

Vote or Die!

[Fit of Rage]

Kerry HAS to win New Mexico, otherwise this is completely over.

[Evasive]

Its over, GW has it

[DoTheFandango]

This is completely over.

He needed OHIO and FLORIDA and lost em both.

Fucked.

[Jerome Scuggs]

i'm reading yahoo news, it's weird how their election stats favor bush but their articles are so pessimistic about him winning

[Vykromond]

I had a reply, but it got deleted. If Bush wins Ohio and New Mexico, it's over. If he wins Ohio and Kerry wins New Mexico, then it's up to Hawaii. All of this assumes that Kerry will win Nevada by the predicted 1k that the Senator gave us.

[Vykromond]

Ohio has become, as tons of pundits proclaimed, the new Florida. The amount of precincts reporting in Ohio ranges from 70-75% depending on how you look at it.

Precincts Reporting: 70.14%
Office Candidate Party Votes % Of Votes
President/Vice President
Bush, George W. Republican 2,079,955 52.23%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 1,882,615 47.27%
Badnarik, Michael 10,947 0.27%
Peroutka, Michael Anthony 9,001 0.23%
Schriner, Joe -WI 29 0.00%
Cobb, David Keith-WI 14 0.00%
Duncan, Richard A.-WI 5 0.00%
Zych, Thomas F.-WI 5 0.00%
Harris, James -WI 0 0.00%
Parker, John T.-WI 0 0.00%
Total Votes 3,982,571

is the state's own estimate,

Bush (Rep)* 2156510 51%
Kerry (Dem) 2029547 48%


% of precincts reporting: 76

is ABC's. This is a 100,000-150,000 vote margin that Kerry must overcome in the next one-quarter of balloting. Kerry needs this state badly. If he doesn't get some votes in the last bloc of Ohio and it falls in line with the Floridian results, he loses barring extreme circumstances that I discussed in the previous post.

[NPR has called Oregon for Kerry.]

[Fit of Rage]

Y! officially calls Oregan for Kerry. Not that it matters as much as New Mexico. :info:

[Jerome Scuggs]

if new mexico goes to Kerry, my cancer-ridden aunt who lives there will commit suicide. (and i'm not lying.)

[Vykromond]

I don't know if I'm just rehashing data here, but a New Mexico update:

CANDIDATE VOTE TOTAL PERCENT WINNER
Bush (Rep)* 198903 51%
Kerry (Dem) 187410 48%
Nader (Ind) 2160 1%


% of precincts reporting: 71