Election Thread #1 -real version (Let's see how long we can stay on topic)

[Vykromond]

With 15% of votes in, Wisconsin is leaning Bush significantly. Nobody knows what the fuck is going on in Michigan, Minnesota, and Iowa, so don't ask me.

[Vykromond]

I'm a little burnt out with all these posts. I might not have Internet access after 11 PM today, but I'll come back in ten or fifteen minutes to give you guys some updates before I sign off.

[Vykromond]

These Florida results speak for themselves:

Bush
(Incumbent)
3,162,076 52% 0
Kerry
2,902,544 48% 0
Nader
27,172 0% 0
Badnarik
10,007 0% 0
Peroutka
5,595 0% 0
Cobb
3,333 0% 0
Brown
3,102 0% 0
Harris
2,416 0% 0

88% precincts reporting - Updated 10:38 p.m. ET

[Dameon Angell]

Someone's working the 30 second rule here.

[Vykromond]

New Hampshire, despite my hatred for it, is being an exciting little state. The AP reports that the lead has changed hands several times. With 52% of precincts reporting, Kerry leads by about 200 votes.

[Verthanthi]

New Hampshire has no sales tax, that is why I like it.

[Vykromond]

CNN and ABC both show this for Michigan:

Bush (Rep)* 328095 54%
Kerry (Dem) 269829 45%
Nader (Ind) 3393 1%


% of precincts reporting: 13

[Vykromond]

I'm seeing tiny Kerry leads in Iowa with about 10-13% of precincts reporting. Way, way too early to call.

In Pennsylvania news, people from both camps are calling it a Kerry victory, but the cable news networks have been very leery of projecting it too early. I'm going to go ahead and tell you folks that Kerry will win this state. But he still has a very long way to go, especially with the early results in Michigan being as they are and the comeback that he needs to pull in Florida.

[Vykromond]

Early results have Bush leading Wisconsin and Kerry leading Minnesota. Both of these are under 20% reporting.

Ohio has Bush ahead about 100,000 votes so far. This is under 40% reporting. I don't think Kerry can afford to lose both Ohio and Florida. If he wins all of the other midwestern contention states, though, he might stand a chance. Florida + Ohio = 47, Michigan + Wisconsin + Minnesota + Iowa = 44. But Kerry should not count on winning all four of those.

[Vykromond]

Finally, they found the balls to call Pennsylvania. This is a classic case of overcompensation by the networks for over-hasty Florida calling in 2000. Kerry's victory in Pennsylvania was dramatic. Who the fuck said this was a swing state?

[Jerome Scuggs]

Vyk, i got rodge to upload the emoticons today.

Popular Vote 46% of Precincts Reporting

George W. Bush - 51% - 29,714,094
John Kerry - 48% - 27,777,818

Electoral
Bush 196
Kerry 133

http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/20041102_SUM_PRE.html
^florida in real time

[Vykromond]

Idaho is going Bush. Everyone who thought otherwise, raise your hands, then... well, you know.

EDIT: Polls are closed everywhere except for Alaska. Alaska will vote Bush, probably. Cold weather means Republicanism.

[Jerome Scuggs]

An interesting story as to why probably everyone in Louisiana is voting Bush:

My mother asked my girlfriend and I to goto a bush-reelection party at a family friend's house. Of course there was free heineken in the outdoor fridge that I could yak as we left and free food, so we went.

As we enter, I hear this:
"You guys now, God wants us to vote Bush. Think about it! Kerry is from up north right? So he's a YANKEE! Now look at that there TV, and see how Bush is red on the map of the US? Well, didn't the RED SOX beat the YANKEES!! They performed a miracle! So God obviously wants the Bush to win!"

needless to say I left fast.

According to Drudge, Ohio will goto Bush.

[Vykromond]

I think the Drudge has their noses in the right direction. Ohio is still 4 points in Bush's favour with about half of precincts reporting.

They say California will go to Kerry, as expected. This brings the electoral vote to the pretty close zone that we all knew it would be in, so all of you liberal pussies that were like "oh no! kerry only has 110!!!!" can rest easy now.

[Verthanthi]

Except don't because Kerry needs some big pull soon.

Edit: Not that you hoping is going to do shit.