Election Thread #1 -real version (Let's see how long we can stay on topic)

[Verthanthi]

So far, the counties that went democrat in WI are pretty strongly so. Following my theory of surrounding fallout, that good signs for WI democrats.

[Jerome Scuggs]

yahoo calls florida. 237 - 199

[Jerome Scuggs]

Drudge calls something - 246 - 199 according to the DReport.

[Verthanthi]

This one is for conc

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/...ina/index.html

Whats the candidates name? Inez Tenenbaum? That's pretty fucking coincidental. Whats her middlename? Rosemary?

[Vykromond]

Let's round up the rest. Bush will probably win Arizona. He's also up 10,000 (about 3%) in New Mexico. He's up 9 points in Colorado. Kerry leads Nevada by less than 5,000 votes; looks like the Senator I quoted earlier in this thread just might end up being right. Oregon is Kerry's.

A pretty overlooked race, mainly because it's always been thought of as a Democratic stronghold, is the one in Washington. Only about one-tenth of precincts have already reported, but those polls actually have Bush ahead by 8,000! This is something that will be interesting to watch, though I think it'll swing back to Kerry as we have more ballots coming in.

EDIT: It's already swinging back, as in

Kerry (Dem) 545456 52%
Bush (Rep)* 485642 47%
Nader (Ind) 7275 1%


% of precincts reporting: 12

[Jerome Scuggs]

according to DR, CO and NM goto bush - but the 4 midwest states goto Kerry, sans Ohio who is bush.

[Jerome Scuggs]

Let's round up the rest. Bush will probably win Arizona. He's also up 10,000 (about 3%) in New Mexico. He's up 9 points in Colorado. Kerry leads Nevada by less than 5,000 votes; looks like the Senator I quoted earlier in this thread just might end up being right. Oregon is Kerry's.

A pretty overlooked race, mainly because it's always been thought of as a Democratic stronghold, is the one in Washington. Only about one-tenth of precincts have already reported, but those polls actually have Bush ahead by 8,000! This is something that will be interesting to watch, though I think it'll swing back to Kerry as we have more ballots coming in.

EDIT: It's already swinging back, as in

Kerry (Dem) 545456 52%
Bush (Rep)* 485642 47%
Nader (Ind) 7275 1%


% of precincts reporting: 12

According to yahoo and DR, washington's been decided?

[Vykromond]

I am no longer accepting data from CNN. ABC has more updated data that dovetails with CNN's very closely, and isn't under the highly misguided allusion that the score is 197-188.

[Jerome Scuggs]

George W. Bush - 51% - 40,299,831
John Kerry - 48% - 38,012,607

[Jerome Scuggs]

I am no longer accepting data from CNN. ABC has more updated data that dovetails with CNN's very closely, and isn't under the highly misguided allusion that the score is 197-188.

yeah i'm doing drudge and yahoo, gave up on everyone else

[DoTheFandango]

NBC has it 206-207.

WTF?

[Jerome Scuggs]

wow according to Y! W.DC (is this what vyk meant by washington?) voted for kerry by like 90%

[Verthanthi]

CNN finally calls arizona. Still no word on florida.

[Vykromond]

According to yahoo and DR, washington's been decided?

They're doing the thing they've been doing all night, which is projection that hits a little faster than I like it. I have, however, added them to the list of sources I'm accepting, in replacement of the sadly misguided CNN.

Ohio is still leaning Bush by about 150,000. Taken from Jerome's earlier link:
Precincts Reporting: 67.19%
Office Candidate Party Votes % Of Votes
President/Vice President
Bush, George W. Republican 1,967,003 52.37%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 1,765,321 47.00%
Badnarik, Michael 10,485 0.28%
Peroutka, Michael Anthony 8,611 0.23%
Cobb, David Keith-WI 4,696 0.13%
Schriner, Joe -WI 27 0.00%
Zych, Thomas F.-WI 4 0.00%
Duncan, Richard A.-WI 2 0.00%
Harris, James -WI 0 0.00%
Parker, John T.-WI 0 0.00%
Total Votes 3,756,149




On another note:


The young voter thing seems exactly like I talked about it earlier in the thread. Simply put, the apathy of young voters just wasn't shaken enough: less than 1/10th of the vote came from the "young voter" bloc.

[Vykromond]

Jerome, I meant Washington State, which is only a 5-point jump for Kerry at this point.