My thoughts on diso in twlb:
I doubt they have to win all 7 games to move into playoffs, as there is the possibility that 6 or 5 wins could do it (leaving them at 5-5 or 6-4) It really will matter as to who they end up tied with. Now Shriek and Mambo have already beaten them, so if tied they'd get in on the who won when they played each other technicality. However if Disoblige can get wins over Incuria (week6) (and they should be rolling by then, with a possible win over -F- and a definate win over Melee) and Syndicate (week 8) Then they'll be in pretty good position. Those are the key weeks for disoblige, and i really feel that they can't lose more than 1, possibly two games. THey've got Pallies in week 7 -Final- in week 4 and wr in week 9, they must win at least 2 of those if they're to have a shot imo.
My thoughts on Rapid in TWLJ:
Rapid is going to have to beat out one of Pirates, DragonGuard, Grapevine or possibly Tanked to get there hands on the last playoff spot.
They play Elenya next week and they'll win, but then they'll lose to Shriek making them 2-3 with a probable minus rating. (currently 24 points under even, they'll need to win by a big margin over elenya and lose by a low margin to shriek, and i don't see it happening.) They've then got key matches vs Grapevine, Ancients, Pallies, DragonGuard and Tanked. assuming they beat tanked and ancients, and lose to gv and pallies they'll be 4-5, needing for sure a win against dg. Rapid is capable of upseting GV too though, which could lead them to a 6-4 finish. If they can beat GV and DG, with easy wins also awaiting with ancients, and tanked, they'd have beaten 3 out of the 4 teams aiming for the lower playoff spots and would be sitting pretty. THats what they have to do, lets see if they can do it.
I doubt they have to win all 7 games to move into playoffs, as there is the possibility that 6 or 5 wins could do it (leaving them at 5-5 or 6-4) It really will matter as to who they end up tied with. Now Shriek and Mambo have already beaten them, so if tied they'd get in on the who won when they played each other technicality. However if Disoblige can get wins over Incuria (week6) (and they should be rolling by then, with a possible win over -F- and a definate win over Melee) and Syndicate (week 8) Then they'll be in pretty good position. Those are the key weeks for disoblige, and i really feel that they can't lose more than 1, possibly two games. THey've got Pallies in week 7 -Final- in week 4 and wr in week 9, they must win at least 2 of those if they're to have a shot imo.
My thoughts on Rapid in TWLJ:
Rapid is going to have to beat out one of Pirates, DragonGuard, Grapevine or possibly Tanked to get there hands on the last playoff spot.
They play Elenya next week and they'll win, but then they'll lose to Shriek making them 2-3 with a probable minus rating. (currently 24 points under even, they'll need to win by a big margin over elenya and lose by a low margin to shriek, and i don't see it happening.) They've then got key matches vs Grapevine, Ancients, Pallies, DragonGuard and Tanked. assuming they beat tanked and ancients, and lose to gv and pallies they'll be 4-5, needing for sure a win against dg. Rapid is capable of upseting GV too though, which could lead them to a 6-4 finish. If they can beat GV and DG, with easy wins also awaiting with ancients, and tanked, they'd have beaten 3 out of the 4 teams aiming for the lower playoff spots and would be sitting pretty. THats what they have to do, lets see if they can do it.
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