Election Thread #1 -real version (Let's see how long we can stay on topic)

[Jerome Scuggs]

I'm pretty sure that image is self-updating a la Yahoo!, so just keep this post marked and refresh it

[Jerome Scuggs]

bush 209
kerry 188

[Jerome Scuggs]

wow kerry did get a huge avalanche from california, but straight up Bush has won 24 states, to Kerry's 13.

[GoldenPlums]

Any chance of summing up the big picture vyk (or anyone else)? I know it's too early to call, but it seems like Bush is doing reasonably well. I don't understand all these figures.

[Vykromond]

I'm glad Jerome is kind of taking this baton, because I'm really sick of updating.

But I think Florida is done.

Bush
(Incumbent)
3,433,459 52% 0
Kerry
3,129,075 47% 0
Nader
29,307 1% 0
Badnarik
10,382 0% 0
Peroutka
5,986 0% 0
Cobb
3,928 0% 0
Brown
3,324 0% 0
Harris
2,588 0% 0

93% precincts reporting - Updated 11:07 p.m. ET

[Verthanthi]

Most interesting stat of the thing for me so far, NO states have changed hands from the last election yet.

[Jerome Scuggs]

Kerry just won another state, bringing it to 14.

209 - 199. Kerry almost has the 200 mark!

[Jerome Scuggs]

i didn't see what state he won, but i think he just won Washington. 11 votes.

[Jerome Scuggs]

Bush just jumped 1 vote - to 210. Trying to see what state only has 1 vote...

[Vykromond]

THE BIG PICTURE: 23.11 PM EST

The electoral score is Bush 211, Kerry 188. This is using the statistics of the Associated Press. Bush is winning the popular vote by about 2 million votes at the moment.

Florida will, barring random events, go for Bush- he has a five-percentage-point lead going into the last seven percent of polling. Florida was one of the most, if not the most, important swing state. Unless the next 7% also go for Bush, this probably isn't the last that we'll hear of Florida. Court litigation is likely.

Another swing state, Pennsylvania, has ended up solidly in the Kerry camp. Keep in mind that the 211-188 tally above includes Pennsylvania, but does not include Florida. With Florida the electoral vote is 238-188 in favour of Bush.

Ohio, the third part of the super-swing-state trifecta, is leaning Bush by a few points as well at this point in voting. This one's close. I don't know what's going to happen.

The midwestern swing states- Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Michigan- are all too early to call. So far Kerry leads in MN and IA, and Bush leads in WI and MI.

New Mexico and Colorado are leaning Bush, but not by much.

Basically, at this point things are looking good for everyone's favourite incumbent president: he's ahead right now, and definitely looks to pick up Florida.

[Jerome Scuggs]

weird -bush just jumped 1 vote according to yahoo! but didn't win any states. is this some weird effect of Kerry taking washington?

[Vykromond]

Jerome, no state has only 1 vote. Every state has electoral votes equal to its congressional representation; thus, a minimum of 3.

What you probably saw was the website which you're checking adding the free Maine elector to Bush's tally. I discussed the free Maine elector, which comes from the smaller of Maine's two major congressional districts, earlier in this thread.

[Vykromond]

For those of you waiting with bated breath to see where the Granite State ends up, an update:

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Kerry
202,089 50% 0
Bush
(Incumbent)
196,479 49% 0
Nader
2,706 1% 0

64% precincts reporting - Updated 11:17 p.m. ET

[Jerome Scuggs]

Jerome, no state has only 1 vote. Every state has electoral votes equal to its congressional representation; thus, a minimum of 3.

What you probably saw was the website which you're checking adding the free Maine elector to Bush's tally. I discussed the free Maine elector, which comes from the smaller of Maine's two major congressional districts, earlier in this thread.

alright, sweet.

you need to get on SS - i think you're on melufa's chat? - so i can ask you these things in advance

[GoldenPlums]

Thanks. :up: